Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 12, 2026
Prospect Baseline Profile

Sadbiel Delzine

BOS · Single-A · P

Prospect Baseline Rank #90

Player Assessment

Current model read

The clearest reason to pay attention to Sadbiel Delzine is the separation between what was expected and what he is currently producing. The 72 Performance Grade sits 27 points above the 45 scouting foundation, a large enough gap to change the shape of the evaluation. The age-to-level relationship adds development value to the current performance.

Prospect Score & Development

61/100

Solid composite evaluation

Baseline

76/100

Central modeled outcome; separate from Prospect Score.

Confidence

89/100

High confidence

Evidence strength, separate from model risk.

Performance context

Model-derived assessment
72/100

Solid current production

K/9
Miss ability11.0 K/9Strong strikeout signal
K-BB%
Dominance20.6% K-BBStrong strikeout-to-walk foundation
HR/9
Contact management0.3 HR/9Limits damaging contact

Scouting Profile

20–80 scouting scale
Overall
45
Fastball
60
Slider
55
Curveball
55
Changeup
55
Control
50

Grades updated 2026-09-29

Supporting Evidence and What to Watch

Current model assessment

Supporting Evidence

Prospect Baseline places the central outcome at 76, with a modeled range from 72 to 79. That is a relatively tight band, which means the underlying inputs are showing more agreement than conflict. The supporting evidence is comparatively mature, so future movement should require a more meaningful change in performance or scouting information.

What to Watch

The next level of competition is the most informative test. At Single-A, age-to-level context is already helping the projection. Maintaining the same indicators against stronger competition would strengthen the Baseline more than simply repeating the current line in place.

Model factors and risk context
Model Risk Index3
Age to level67
Track record73
Data quality100

Risk, age-to-level, track record and data quality are separate model fields. A missing value is not zero.

Projected Outcome Range

Floor 72Baseline 76Ceiling 79

These are modeled outcome bands on the Prospect Baseline 0–100 scale, not guaranteed MLB outcomes.

Forecast

Statistical projections

No statistical forecast is published for this player. The current profile data does not include a documented rate forecast method, target population, or validation results.

Development Trajectory

Recorded Baseline assessments

Latest recorded Baseline: 76 on · Current Floor 72, Baseline 76, Ceiling 79

Recorded history Current Floor–Ceiling range

The chart connects recorded points only within the same model version and starts a new segment across gaps longer than 120 days. Routine point markers are suppressed; changes of 8 or more Baseline points are marked. The vertical whisker shows the current range and Baseline.

View recorded values
DateBaselineModel version
2026-10-1276pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-10-0976pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-10-0876pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
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2026-09-3077pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
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Development Outlook

Upside and risk

↑ Upside

The current Ceiling of 79 is 3 points above the Baseline. This is an outcome range, not a timed forecast.

⚑ Risk Factors

Model Risk Index: 3/100. This is a model measure, not a statement of real-world risk. Model confidence is 89/100 and is measured separately. Data quality and developmental uncertainty are also distinct.

Projection updated October 12, 2026 · Methodology

Projected Outcome Range Guide

How the Prospect Baseline outcome scale maps to player outcome tiers. The separate scouting bars use the traditional 20–80 scale.

Fringe<40
Developing40–59
Solid60–69
Above average70–79
Impact80–89
Generational90–100

Floor, Baseline, and Ceiling describe the current range of modeled outcomes. They are not guaranteed results or dates.